{"id":304,"date":"2017-01-16T21:48:24","date_gmt":"2017-01-16T21:48:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/get3dsmart.com\/Stagingsite\/\/\/?p=304"},"modified":"2017-07-04T15:51:33","modified_gmt":"2017-07-04T15:51:33","slug":"portability-bring-new-power-3d-printing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/get3dsmart.com\/Stagingsite\/2017\/01\/16\/portability-bring-new-power-3d-printing\/","title":{"rendered":"Could Portability Bring New Power to 3D Printing?"},"content":{"rendered":"

I\u2019m back from\u00a0CES 2017<\/a>, and my head is full of ideas. I\u2019ll do a more formal wrap, but I thought I\u2019d start with a few observations, and potentially, an \u201cout there\u201d opportunity.<\/p>\n

First a few insights about CES.<\/p>\n

3D printing got smaller this year. Not only the the number of exhibitors, but also the size of their booths. Last year over 60 companies were part of the 3D Printing Marketplace.\u00a0This year<\/a>\u00a0there were 54. In the past,\u00a0MakerBot<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a03D Systems<\/a>\u00a0were the anchors. This year 3D Systems was completely absent, and MakerBot was relegated to a pitiful spot in the back.<\/p>\n

\"jh-2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

With a few exceptions, the equipment on display was also more diminutive.\u00a0Titan Robotics<\/a>\u00a0brought their\u00a0large format printer<\/a>, and\u00a0Sculpteo<\/a>\u00a0had a\u00a0Carbon<\/a>\u00a03D printer\u00a0on display<\/a>, but almost everything else was a desktop model.<\/p>\n

While FDM was certainly represented it was obvious that many companies are shifting towards SLA.\u00a0Formlabs<\/a>\u00a0is no longer the only kid on that block.<\/p>\n

Some companies like\u00a0Aleph Objects<\/a>\u00a0(LulzBot<\/a>),\u00a0Robo<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0XYZprinting<\/a>\u00a0have continued to grow their businesses in desktop FDM printing, and consumers remain a big part of their equation. But at this point, you\u2019ve got to wonder if that part of the market will ever really scale.<\/p>\n

Consumer 3D Printing<\/b><\/h3>\n

Which got me thinking back a few years to the hype around consumer 3D printing. What did we see then as the game changing benefits?<\/p>\n

We thought that it would \u201cdemocratize manufacturing.\u201d<\/p>\n

I\u2019ve mentioned this before, but a while back we conducted a survey with over 4,600 members of the Sears Shop Your Way loyalty program. We asked them, \u201cWhat about 3D printing is so compelling?\u201d Nearly 50% told us that it was \u201cthe ability to get access to products they couldn\u2019t get otherwise.\u201d<\/p>\n

It\u2019s estimated that one out of every thousand ideas actually becomes a product. 3D printing could help remove many of the upfront barriers and cost opening a floodgate of new innovation.<\/p>\n

We also thought 3D printing could improve the lives of those in remote places.<\/p>\n

At my previous startup (3DLT), we had a crowdsourced network of over 300 engineers, animators and industrial designers who contributed products to our platform. They were located all over the world. I talked with many of them and I\u2019d ask why they were so interested in 3D printing. Many would tell me about the remote areas in which they lived. Some even lived on islands where nearly everything was imported. 3D printing offered them a way to close the gap.<\/p>\n

Getting equipment and materials to the needed location is\u00a0hard enough. But what about power? In places where electricity is plentiful, it\u2019s not a problem. Where it\u2019s unreliable, unavailable or unaffordable, it is.<\/p>\n

Portability<\/b><\/h3>\n

Could portable power improve access and help accelerate innovation?<\/p>\n

Battery power continues to improve. Tesla\u2019s Powerwall is aimed at the home energy market. When combined with solar panels, enough energy can be stored to power a two-bedroom home for a full day. But the cost of a system like that can easily exceed $10,000. In an area where it\u2019s available, it could make economic sense with an ROI of 5-8 years.<\/p>\n

On the downside, the Powerwall is a fixture. Tearing it out and removing it is neither cheap or easy. Here in the US that\u2019s worth noting, especially when nearly 12% of the population moves each year. Among younger adults and renters, the number is much higher.<\/p>\n

What about more portable solutions? Gas generators have been around for decades, but don\u2019t solve the problem of supply. You still have to get fuel to the source.<\/p>\n

One of the innovations on display at CES were portable, battery operated generators. The line of devices offered by\u00a0Goal Zero<\/a>\u00a0enable users to power devices ranging from phones to refrigerators. The batteries in those devices can be charged using another power source or via a solar array. The cost of a complete system (generator plus solar pack) starts at about $500. A top-of-the-line system can exceed $2,000.<\/p>\n

\"jh-1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

They\u2019re designed to be portable. They can go anywhere. If there\u2019s sufficient sun, they can run on solar 24\/7.<\/p>\n

Could this help 3D printing become more accessible to people in remote areas?<\/p>\n

Maybe, but battery technology has its own innovation curve and presently, there are still several challenges. First, while lithium batteries have become more efficient, there\u2019s still a lot of room for improvement. In fact, one promising new\u00a0technology<\/a>\u00a0could deliver 50% more energy density, providing more power from smaller cells.<\/p>\n

Second, some of the materials used in battery production are in high demand. Right now, 45% of the world\u2019s cobalt production is used in the manufacture of lithium-ion batteries. With all of the interest in consumer electronics and electric vehicles, demand will continue to grow.<\/p>\n

Finally, the facilities need to manufacture batteries are limited. Worldwide capacity today is probably less than 50GWh. But, by 2020 it\u2019s\u00a0estimated<\/a>\u00a0that capacity could more than triple. In fact, just last week, Tesla and its partner Panasonic\u00a0announced<\/a>\u00a0that mass production had begun at the new Gigafactory. At full speed, that facility alone could add another 35GWh of capacity.<\/p>\n

Should 3D Printers Get\u00a0Portable?<\/b><\/h3>\n

As battery power improves, it could usher in a new era of portability for 3D printers.<\/p>\n

Remember when the first laptops came out? In 1986 they were so unsophisticated that PC Magazine published an article about them entitled, \u201cIs It On Yet?\u201d The article stated that \u201cLCD screens still look to many observers like Etch-a-Sketch toys,\u201d and that \u201claptops will continue to be a niche rather than a mainstream direction.\u201d<\/p>\n

They also tested the definition of \u201cportable.\u201d<\/p>\n

In his\u00a0article<\/a>, \u201cMy 30 Years at PC Magazine,\u201d John Dvorak had this to say about early laptops:<\/p>\n

\u201cIn hindsight, the promise of powerful, personal computing was fulfilled during that two-decade span.\u201d (1976-1996) He added that, \u201cThis moment in the history of individual freedom was further fueled by the emergence of the laptop computer, which reached its pinnacle during that second decade.\u201d In 1988 NEC released its Ultralite 4.4 pound notebook computer. Dvorak called it a \u201c\u2018$5,000 wonder machine\u2019 that appeared \u2018before the term \u2018notebook computer\u2019 even existed.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

By contrast, today\u2019s top of the line Microsoft Surface Pro 4 weighs about 1.75 pounds, has a beautiful hi-res display and a battery that provides 9 hours of continuous video playback. It\u2019s also infinitely more powerful and starts at $899.<\/p>\n

Maybe the whole PC to 3D printing analogy doesn\u2019t work for you. God knows I have my struggles with it. They\u2019re different mediums. Computer applications are digital. Products are physical. Maybe it\u2019s my background but I usually prefer to compare 3D with 2D printing.<\/p>\n

But, you could also make an argument that a 3D printer is more like a power tool. Even they\u2019ve become more portable. The first cordless power drill was introduced by Black & Decker in 1961. Throughout the 1960\u2019s, Black & Decker, Martin Marietta and others developed cordless tools for the space program. Products developed for NASA were commercialized and led to other use cases.<\/p>\n

Fast forward and today the power tool\u00a0industry<\/a>\u00a0is on its way to becoming a $30+ billion industry. Corded tools still make up the majority of the market, but cordless tools are quickly taking share. For\u00a0example<\/a>, cordless drills made up nearly 25% of all power tool sales in 2013. Corded versions only accounted for 15%.<\/p>\n

\"jh-4\"<\/a><\/p>\n

In large part the growth is due to improvements in battery technology. More powerful batteries yield increased power and runtime, allowing cordless tools to be a viable replacement of the corded version.<\/p>\n

Does Portability Matter?<\/b><\/h3>\n

Cliff Wells, the director of sales, North America for RIDGID, recently had\u00a0this<\/a>\u00a0to say about the use-cases for cordless tools:<\/p>\n

\u201cThe advances in battery charging times, reliability and volumes of work per charge have made cordless tools more viable power sources for some heavier-duty applications than they were in the past. But from a sales standpoint the question then becomes, \u2018How much of that technology is the customer willing to pay for?\u2019 Will the contractor pay more because it\u2019s faster, more portable, or gives him some advantages that he doesn\u2019t have today?\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Could 3D Printing Benefit By Going Portable?<\/b><\/h3>\n

A package including a 3D printer, battery and solar panel would be big, heavy and clunky. So what? Radios, TVs, computers, phones and power tools were all the same way when they first went portable.<\/p>\n

Could mobility enable 3D printers to be used in more remote locations? Could they be used on job sites and in other professional environments where access to electricity is limited?<\/p>\n

In the end it still comes down to finding \u201ckiller applications\u201d \u2013 products that drive significant volume. But sometimes, to find them you\u2019ve got to go where the problem exists, instead of trying to fix it from afar.<\/p>\n

By offering a mobility package, a 3D printer manufacturer could differentiate themselves from competition, generate more revenue, and create a catalyst for new innovation.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s a powerful proposition for an industry in need of a boost. (Sorry, couldn\u2019t resist.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I\u2019m back from\u00a0CES 2017, and my head is full of ideas. I\u2019ll do a more formal wrap, but I thought I\u2019d start with a few observations, and potentially, an \u201cout there\u201d opportunity. First a few insights about CES. 3D printing got smaller this year. Not only the the number of exhibitors, but also the size<\/i><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":305,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-3dp","category-desktop-printing"],"yoast_head":"\nCould Portability Bring New Power to 3D Printing? | Get3DSmart<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/get3dsmart.com\/Stagingsite\/2017\/01\/16\/portability-bring-new-power-3d-printing\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Could Portability Bring New Power to 3D Printing? | Get3DSmart\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I\u2019m back from\u00a0CES 2017, and my head is full of ideas. I\u2019ll do a more formal wrap, but I thought I\u2019d start with a few observations, and potentially, an \u201cout there\u201d opportunity. First a few insights about CES. 3D printing got smaller this year. 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